Two articles in the Wall Street Journal this week raised the theme of confronting change. One was about a product that’s been around since the 1930’s; the other about a much younger offering.
The first was an announcement by Eastman Kodak that they planned to cease production of their Kodachrome film. Once the choice of many professional photographers, today sales of the film account for less than 1% of Kodak’s traditional film revenues. The film is expensive to produce and the adoption of low-cost digital photography made it an unnecessary luxury. How many years will it be before no one understands what Paul Simon was singing about?
The other article was about how Netflix CEO Reed Hastings is already planning for the demise of the DVD. Although recent months have seen significant growth in their subscriber base for their DVD rental business, he has seen the future, and the DVD isn’t part of it. Remote downloads/access will eventually eliminate the need for the medium. He understands that for Netflix to continue to prosper he needs to embrace another delivery model – and he’s already started the process.
These two articles illustrate how important it is to keep anticipating change and evolving. Those firms that focus solely on the next couple of quarters without a longer term perspective often find themselves dying a premature death. I’ve seen it happen.
By the way, if you’ve got some useable Kodachrome around you might want to go ahead and shoot it. There’s only one place in the world that still processes it (in Kansas) and they probably won't be offering that service for much longer.
